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In early trading, the main domestic futures contracts rose almost across the board, with coke and glass rising by over 5%, BR rubber and coking coal rising by over 4%, screw thread and soda ash rising by over 3%, iron ore rising by nearly 3%, and hot coil, polyvinyl chloride (PVC), para-xylene (PX), PTA, Shanghai Bank, Shanghai Tin, rapeseed meal and SC crude oil rising by over 2%. In terms of decline, asphalt and low sulfur fuel oil (LU) declined slightly.Jilin issued a 5-year general bond with a scale of 300 million yuan, an issue rate of 1.6600%, a marginal multiple of 3.00 times and an expected multiple of 1.67; Jilin issued a 10-year general bond with a scale of 300 million yuan, an issue rate of 2.0000%, a marginal multiple of 8.10 times and an expected multiple of 2.01; Jilin issued 30-year ordinary special local bonds, with a scale of 1.6 trillion yuan, an issue interest rate of 2.2000%, a marginal multiple of 1.53 times and an expected multiple of 2.21; Jilin issued 20-year ordinary special local debt, with a scale of 18.5 trillion yuan, an issue interest rate of 2.2300%, a marginal multiple of 22.48 times and an expected multiple of 2.24; Jilin issued 30-year ordinary special local bonds, with a scale of 20 billion yuan, an issue interest rate of 2.2000%, a marginal multiple of 1.59 times and an expected multiple of 2.22.Pacific Securities: The historical low of the valuation office of liquor industry is about to be repaired. The Pacific Securities Research Report pointed out that the liquor industry is rationally slowing down, and the valuation office is at a historical low, and it is about to be repaired. Next year, the leading growth target will generally drop to single digits. However, the accumulated inventory risk and pricing pressure still need time to gradually ease after the imbalance between supply and demand has intensified in the past two years and the previous industry bubble has receded. With the economic recovery stimulated by this round of policies and the stabilization of the bottom of the real estate industry, the liquor industry is expected to usher in a wave of recovery. Since 2023, industry differentiation has intensified, but with the improvement of management level and refined channel operation in recent years, excellent wine enterprises have stronger marketing foundation and anti-risk ability compared with previous downward cycles. The price of high-end wine determines the brand position, so the approval price is more important, which depends on the choice of quantity and price and the control of approval price by wine enterprises. Sub-high-end needs to pay more attention to channel risks. The high growth brought by pre-distribution investment needs to be tested in the downward period, and once the channel collapses and stalls, it is difficult to reverse it. Real estate wine pays attention to the growth momentum of internal product structure and the market potential in and around the province. The upgrading speed determines the slope and the ceiling determines the space. Suggested attention: Wuliangye, LU ZHOU LAO JIAO CO.,LTD, Shuijingfang, etc.

Ruiang Gene: The actual controllers Xiong Hui and Xiong Jun were arrested. Ruiang Gene announced that the actual controller, chairman and general manager Xiong Hui and actual controller, director and deputy general manager Xiong Jun of the company have been arrested for alleged fraud, and related matters need further investigation. Mr. Xiong Jun, Mr. He Junyan and Mr. Xue Yuwei submitted written resignation reports for personal reasons, and will take other positions in the company after resigning. At present, the company has targeted related matters.Swiss Re: It is estimated that the global real GDP growth rate will reach 2.7% in 2026. Swiss Re released the latest sigma report, and the world economy is expected to maintain steady growth in the next two years, but the downside risks will rise. It is estimated that the global real GDP growth rate will reach 2.8% and 2.7% in 2025 and 2026, which is basically the same as that in 2024.Huaxi Securities: In 2025, the rate of RRR cut and interest rate cut may not be lower than 50bp and 20bp. Huaxi Securities Research Report pointed out that this Politburo meeting revisited "moderately loose monetary policy", and the market inevitably associated with the magnificent combination of monetary and fiscal policies in 2008-2010. Specific to this round of monetary policy, it may be similar to it, not only the tone has changed, but also the framework has changed from the previous cross-cycle (or both cross-cycle and counter-cycle) to counter-cycle adjustment, which is likely to point to an increase in the adjustment range of reserve ratio and policy interest rate. Looking forward to 2025, the rate of single RRR cut and interest rate cut of monetary policy may not be lower than 50bp and 20bp (the rate in 2024), and the possibility of further increasing the rate in the face of extreme circumstances is not ruled out. The specific degree and duration of easing may depend on the economic situation.

The onshore RMB against the US dollar officially closed at 7.2493 at 16:30 Beijing time, up 267 points from the official closing price of the previous trading day and up 69 points from the closing price of the previous day and night.The snow removal operation of several expressways in Gansu Province continued due to the temporary control of snowfall. It was learned from the traffic police department of Gansu Province that due to the large-scale snowfall and road icing, as of 7: 30 on the 10th, several expressways in Gansu Province were temporarily controlled. The highway maintenance department is continuously carrying out ice and snow removal operations.The Singapore Straits Times Index was basically flat at 3,795.86.